20th May 2019 11:05:PM Editorials
Eastern Sentinel Arunachal News

Although the last phase of the Elections 2019 has just concluded, the election heat is far from over as all attention has now fallen on the exit polls that have become the talk of the whole nation since they came deluging in from Sunday evening.The atmosphere was expected since they have become an inseparable part of the Indian electoral politics over the years. It’s now the time for some profound cerebral actions ranging from all sorts of calculations and conjectures hovering around these exit polls. And unmistakably, almost everybody, whether be it the contestants themselves or party people or the average voter will be a part of this great discussion for the next couple of days till May 23 when the actual results come out.
Exit poll, that has become a craze nowadays is a post-voting poll conducted just after a voter walks out after casting his or her vote from the booth and a random sample size is selected which may range anywhere between 20-25,000 voters to 7-8 lakh voters. If gathering data from across several constituencies and demographic groups is only a part of the exercise, the real challenge lies in converting the vote share into seats.And according to most experts, more  the  sample size is geographically, socially and demographically representative, the more accurate the exit poll will be. Again, if the history of exit polls in the country is analysed, there are stories of both successes and failures. But the most vital cause for failure of exit polls in the country has been attributed to the chances of a deliberate lie by the voter. For the sake of analysis, the voter’s statement has to be taken as true as there is no way to verify it. All these factors make the subject matter of psephology something ‘undecipherable’ for the common man till now.
But still, the charm of exit polls continues unabated and this time it has gripped the whole nation like never before. Almost all of them have predicted a smooth ride for the BJP-lead NDA, to be back again in power with a thumping majority. And for Northeast, NDA could end up winning 17 to 19 seats out of the total 25 spread over eight states that form the region.
This is really a time of sixes and sevens the whole nation has stepped in when diametrically opposite views are flowing in equal volumes. If for some it’s pure solace, it’s also something to be taken with a grain of salt for many and for some it’s pure bogus.
But in any case, exit polls will perhaps be counted as that essential spice without which the Indian electoral recipe would be tasteless.

Kenter Joya Riba

(Managing Editor)
      She is a graduate in Science with post graduation in Sociology from University of Pune. She has been in the media industry for nearly a decade. Before turning to print business, she has been associated with radio and television.
Email: kenterjoyaz@easternsentinel.in / editoreasternsentinel@gmail.com
Phone: 0360-2212313

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